Causal Inference

Potential outcomes, DAGs, and identification of causal effects.


foundation tier

Causal Inference. Potential outcomes, DAGs, and identification of causal effects. The literature on causal inference divides naturally along several axes: the foundational structures that organise the subject, the techniques that drive proofs and computations, the questions about classification or representation that animate current research, and the bridges to neighbouring areas of mathematics and science. The references below trace those axes through the canonical textbook treatments and recent technical contributions.

Foundations and canonical references

The standard treatments of causal inference approach the subject from complementary angles. Pearl, Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference (2009) is the anchor reference for the subject and lays out the core definitions, theorems, and worked examples that practitioners return to. Hernan, Causal Inference: What If (2020) gives a parallel, more proof-oriented exposition of the same material and is widely used as a graduate text. Peters, Elements of Causal Inference (2017) serves as a third pillar of the literature and is particularly strong on the structural and worked-out examples that the other references treat more briefly.

Open methodological questions for causal inference include sharpening the bridges between foundational theory and computational practice, extending classical results to broader or more structured settings, and integrating the techniques surveyed above with adjacent mathematical disciplines. The references listed in this page are the entry points that current work builds on.

Prerequisites

Sources

  • textbook · primary · 2009
    Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference
    pearl-2009
  • textbook · primary · 2020
    Causal Inference: What If
    hernan-2020, robins-2020
  • textbook · primary · 2017
    Elements of Causal Inference
    peters-jonas-2017, janzing-2017, scholkopf-2017

In context

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  1. 01

    Potential Outcomes Framework

    Rubin causal model, ignorability, and ATE/ATT estimation.

  2. 02

    Graphical Causal Models

    Pearl's DAGs, do-calculus, and front-door/back-door criteria.

  3. 03

    Instrumental Variables and Quasi-Experiments

    IV identification, LATE, and regression discontinuity.

  4. 04

    Double/Debiased Machine Learning

    Chernozhukov et al. orthogonalization for causal estimation with ML nuisance.

  5. 05

    Causal Discovery

    Structure learning algorithms: PC, GES, and NOTEARS.


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